06/14/2026
Cindy Louviere Dauphinet
Growing concern for an impactful rain system developing off the LA/TX coasts later this week. First off, what in the world is a hybrid low? We can fight over whether this is tropical in nature or frontal - it doesn’t matter. There is potential for a concentrated area of significant rainfall and maybe even some wind. The National Hurricane Center may keep the chances low for tropical development because the low isn’t totally tropical, but I think the impacts will be depression or storm-like.
This will be developing off Texas on Wednesday and cross into Louisiana Thursday/Friday. Depending on the track of the low we’re likely to see a concentrated area of 12”+ of rainfall and don’t be shocked if as the low gets inland, it creates some wind energy. Coastal flooding in our southern shores will also be a concern.
Note that this will come on the backside of a heavy rainfall setup Monday/Tuesday. Just the early week rain from a stalling front may yield 6” in places. This is that area I’ve been saying to watch for on the tail of the front spinning up.
The small details need to be ironed out. Where exactly does the low track? Over SE TX/SW LA/SE LA? That will determine who sees a lot of rain and who sees very little. Can this organize enough to create a wind circulation? Still plenty of question marks 3-4 days out. Stay tuned to the forecast!
